What genAI has changed is my interest in open source. I'll continue to contribute to human-developed open source projects, but that's where my interest stops. I have negative interest in "feeding the machine", and thus I'm afraid libOrigin is unlikely to ever be released publicly.
Then do not. Share it with any human who asks nicely, so that true knowledge and cooperation my flow freely but in channels outside of the AI shit.
The data-gobble is real. Here in Germany, there are growing reports of antiquarian bookstores getting 200+ book orders at a time from Canada. Investigations are pending, but it is likely that American AI companies are using Canadian offshoots/fronts to obtain more books to scan and then destroy, circumventing copyright laws (because it is not fair use to do so over here).
I particularly reject any suggestion that programming is just a means to an end - that attitude is extremely prevalent though, and in my experience is the root cause of a lot of the issues we see in so much software. In a cut-throat soulless corporate environment it makes perfect sense... But I thought this was supposed to be the opposite of that - certainly is for me - i.e. people actually giving a crap about making something, not just producing something.
I am the lead software architect in the company I work for. Our company has banked on Anthropics'
Claude and we are evaluating this stuff.
My preconceived opinion has been that this stuff does not actually make everyday work more efficient, plus all the obvious dependency and software sustainability issues. Honestly, that opinion has not been fully confirmed.
The AI stuff can indeed be useful in practice, for everything of low importance and low life expectancy which can be easily tested/evaluated. Things like GUI-prototypes or single-use-developer scripts, which you throw away after using. It is also surprisingly good at managing CSS. But real backend code, code that needs to be maintained long term, code of real value, of a business value... For that you need a human.
And all the companies who fail to see that will run into giant problems within the next 5 years.
Still, one must (professionally) admit that AI usage can indeed be beneficial in some sections of software development process.
If that benefit is actually economical however, there is still a big question mark over that. Costs will rise, see
enshitification. Then there are the hidden costs, you loose knowledge and the ability to train juniors to be good at their jobs. All good for the AI company of course, as these companies want you to "lock in", to be depended, because this is how monopolies can succeed within a platform economy. Not very sustainable if your business utterly depends on external services.
Nowhere is this as apparent as in the so called
autonomous business approach that is being promoted here, which truly is the most bonkers PR-lie that I have seen in decades, yes decades! This is such a hard opposite that it can only be described as Orwell-like, think
war is peace, freedom is slavery.
For those in favor of AI-first and unwilling to see the economic or politic truth of how problematic this is, let's try a technical argument instead:
The current LLVM-based AI approach will
not improve much further and hallucinations are indeed an unsolvable problem (see
here), once of the reasons that some predict that
symbolic/logic AI could make a comeback within the next decade, potentially in some form of combined system.
Right now, AI systems are degenerating instead because they are getting trained on AI-generated data. But since that does not fit the story, the very important story to keep the unbelievable amount of investor money following, we keep to the success stories. Instead, we read about models so smart that they cause security incidents or must be prevented from being used by foreign citizens.
If you are a software expert/developer/engineer/something, the last three years have been rough when it comes to job opportunities and general media perception. But that phase will end, once it all comes crashing down. Suddenly, people able to analyze problems and actually solve problems will be in very high demand, although it will be very frustrating to deal with the AI-generated legacy code stack then. There is also the danger of big and popular frameworks being ruined in the meantime, of commonly used tech like some DBMS being essentially contaminated and rendered unusable without strong alternatives being ready (I currently predict that Microsoft's software stack is the first to collapse, that Win11 OS is barely working reliably by now).
The AI push is one of the biggest economic gambles our capitalistic societies have ever attempted. The gold rush is driving up prices of consumer goods while telling executives to eliminate the purchasing power of these consumers by giving their jobs (and the executive's value-production-chain) to AI. No one really benefits from this, not even the AI companies (remember
this webpage!), except Nvidia who builds the hardware.
Now, they are all hoping that they will benefit in the future, once enough people are locked in and can be squeezed because they have no longer a choice. This might come to pass. Or it will not, who can say.
I do not think it will, I think there is a giant crash coming in a few years. But if I am wrong and the AI evangelists are right, how this a cyberpunkian future, potentially techno-faschist future, any better that our current time? A future in which a few giant mega-corps control most of the means of production? Who really thinks that "we will have more free time" as Bill Gates did put it? The vast majority of people will probably have worse lives than before, scraping to get by, while a minuscule elite will control an unthinkable part of our everyday existence. Real, dystopian shit.
Sorry, this is turning into a rant. Personally, I say
fuck off AI. Professionally, I think the AI stuff will collapse hard and those people with real skill at something, be it technical, creative or otherwise, with profit from that again in the long term. The meantime is ugly, however.
Last week, the famous
Ring play at the yearly
Bayreuth Festival in Germany was changed into an AI-driven performance to do something different for the 150th birthday. And everyone, absolutely everyone, from press to performers to audience, hated it.
Also last week, I overheard a meeting at a restaurant by some marketing person with his customer. PR was among the earliest fields impacted by AI, the possibilities seemed endless. No more photo ops, reduced costs, sounded great for those in charge. According to this meeting, they are already in a hard shift to focus on actual human contact, on human-hosted in-person events, on hiring humans to have a personal business relationship with the customer. Because this is how you stand out from a sea of slop.
AI affects a lot. All of us, in the connected western societies. But there really is little benefit, except for Nvidia.
I'll continue to take longer to do things, and do my best to make sure they're worth the wait.
Your work, and that of many others around here like Pedro from above, is valued. Very valued.